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Assume: at month 1 start, churners = 5,000.
Wait: likely the total population is fixed. Suppose total customers = 50,000.
But we only know churned in month 1: 5,000.
Assume at start, total S customers. After 5,000 churned, 45,000 remain? But not stated.
Assume no leakage: use constant population.
After first month: 5,000 churned. But we need remaining after that: 95,000.
Thus, likely the constant is scaled differently.
From month 1: R_1 = 5,000 (after churn).
Given the difficulty, assume the churn in month 2 depends on the number remaining after month 1.
Suppose at start, there are N customers. After 5,000 churned, 45,000 remain.
